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Israel

Policy Analysis on Israel

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Photo of Lebanese Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah onscreen while addressing a 2017 event.
Articles & Testimony
6 Consequences of Israel Killing Hezbollah’s Hassan Nasrallah
By building on the death of an Iran-backed terrorist leader, President Biden has the opportunity to leave the Middle East better today than it was on October 8, which is no small achievement.
Sep 30, 2024
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  • Robert Satloff
Nasrallah
Brief Analysis
What Nasrallah’s Death Could Mean for the Hezbollah Network
Iran’s proxy faces steep challenges on the leadership and military fronts, and the international community can now act vigorously to free Lebanon from its grip.
Sep 28, 2024
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Men watch as smoke rises after an Israeli bombing of Hezbollah sites in southern Lebanon in September 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Israel Dead Set on Beating Hezbollah Back
With prospects low for a near-term diplomatic breakthrough, the Lebanese group can decide how far this conflict escalates.
Sep 27, 2024
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Improving Egypt-Israel Relations in the Shadow of Gaza
In addition to addressing each country’s concerns about border sovereignty, smuggling, and other irritants, Washington should emphasize the longer-term need to return to the peace treaty’s military limitations after the Gaza war.
Sep 24, 2024
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  • David Schenker
  • Assaf Orion
Israelis protest demanding the release of hostages held by Hamas - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Reminder: The Hostages (or: Why an ‘All for All’ Deal Doesn’t Help Them)
The impasse in negotiations boils down to a choice between getting the hostages out or staying in Gaza—and Netanyahu has seemingly picked the latter.
Sep 24, 2024
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  • David Makovsky
Men watch as smoke rises after an Israeli bombing of Hezbollah sites in southern Lebanon in September 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Israel and Hezbollah Are Escalating Toward Catastrophe
Both sides have major incentives to avoid a wider conflict, but they’ll need help escaping the traps they laid for themselves.
Sep 23, 2024
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  • Dana Stroul
Articles & Testimony
Will Hezbollah Choose to Keep Its Word—or Its Arsenal?
The group must decide between walking back its threat to northern Israel or risking the loss of its advanced missile capabilities, which Iran regards as a crucial insurance policy.
Sep 23, 2024
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
A Hezbollah fighter has his picture taken alongside a mural depicting deceased Hezbollah military leader Ibrahim Aqil at Aquil's funeral in September 2024 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Death of (Another) Hezbollah Lifer
Like his recently killed predecessor, Ibrahim Aqil had a long history of murdering Americans, Europeans, Israelis, Lebanese, and others perceived as obstacles to Hezbollah’s ambitions, and his experience as a military and terrorist commander will be difficult to replace.
Sep 23, 2024
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  • Matthew Levitt
One of the pagers destroyed by remotely triggered explosion in Lebanon on September 17, 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
How Exploding Pagers Can Lead to Calm Along Israel-Lebanon Border
Washington should push to negotiate limited border understandings now—it makes little sense to open a larger, more catastrophically destructive conflict if the outcome is likely to end up at the same place.
Sep 22, 2024
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  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Israel Sends Hezbollah Twin Messages
Israel’s cloak-and-dagger pager ploy was extraordinary, but will it change the group’s calculus?
Sep 21, 2024
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  • Matthew Levitt
Hezbollah fighters parade with flags in Lebanon in 2019 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Israel and the Coming Long War
To defeat Iran’s "resistance" axis, the IDF needs a new strategy—and a unified country.
Sep 13, 2024
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  • Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
Netanyahu Is Playing Into Khamenei’s Hands
Iran’s leaders are playing a long game; Israel’s leaders are not.
Sep 13, 2024
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  • Dennis Ross
A masked Hamas fighter brandishes a rifle in Gaza - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Hamas Is Weakened, But a Prolonged Guerrilla Conflict Looms
The group maintains significant control over Gaza’s population despite its considerable losses, and removing it from power will necessitate a long campaign that no actor seems willing to undertake.
Sep 12, 2024
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  • Ido Levy
A Chevron gas platform in the Mediterranean Sea's Aphrodite gas field off the coast of Cyprus - source: Chevron
Brief Analysis
East Med Politics May Further Delay Cyprus Gas
The island has objected to Chevron’s export proposals with Egypt and might look for other partners.
Sep 5, 2024
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  • Simon Henderson
Israeli soldiers on patrol in the West Bank community of Nablus - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Prioritizing the West Bank Amid Escalation and Deterioration
Israel’s most significant military operation in the territory since the second intifada highlights the growing danger of a new front opening alongside the Gaza war.
Aug 30, 2024
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  • Neomi Neumann
Articles & Testimony
Israel Turns Up the Heat on Hezbollah
As the war in Gaza seemingly winds down, the old rules no longer apply in the north.
Aug 29, 2024
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  • David Schenker
Infographic on Hamas diplomatic meetings during the Gaza war.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Hamas Diplomacy: From Haniyeh to Sinwar
The group has sought to build legitimacy and prepare for a postwar role in Gaza by engaging with various countries since October, but the death of Ismail Haniyeh will complicate those efforts.
Aug 28, 2024
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Another One-Day War? What the Latest Hezbollah-Israel Clash Reveals About Deterrence and Escalation
Israeli and Lebanese experts join two former U.S. officials to discuss what each party was thinking before, during, and after this weekend’s exchange of strikes—and whether war in the north has become inevitable regardless of near-term de-escalation.
Aug 27, 2024
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  • Ben Fishman
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Assaf Orion
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
The Pros and Cons of Salvaging (or Ditching) UNIFIL
Given the current lack of viable security alternatives on the Israel-Lebanon border, Washington may try to patch up UNIFIL’s many deficiencies—but it must do so with a clear understanding that the force has repeatedly failed its mission and squandered its credibility.
Aug 20, 2024
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  • David Schenker
  • Assaf Orion
Chinese and U.S. flags flutter at a trade meeting in Shanghai
Articles & Testimony
What to Make of China’s Moves in the Middle East
Beijing doesn’t care that its “Palestinian unity” agreement is a nonstarter or that a Hamas victory would undermine Chinese interests in stabilizing the Middle East—it just wants the United States to lose.
Aug 19, 2024
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  • Michael Singh

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Featured experts

David Makovsky
David Makovsky
David Makovsky is the Ziegler Distinguished Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Koret Project on Arab-Israel Relations.
Ambassador Dennis Ross
Dennis Ross
Dennis Ross, a former special assistant to President Barack Obama, is the counselor and William Davidson Distinguished Fellow at The Washington Institute.
Ehud Yaari
Ehud Yaari is the Lafer International Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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